Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna-Lena Friedsam v Tamara Zidansek

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna-Lena Friedsam (Local)

Prediction 37.32%2.68fair odd

EV +0.755%

Edge +0.280%

Kelly +0.444%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.71%37.13%37.50%39.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.452.522.502.7040.82%39.72%40.08%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamara Zidansek (Visit)

Prediction 62.68%1.60fair odd

EV +0.294%

Edge +0.183%

Kelly +0.489%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.88%62.87%62.50%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.501.501.6069.93%66.50%66.67%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna-Lena Friedsam (Local): 37.32%; Tamara Zidansek (Visit): 62.68%. For Anna-Lena Friedsam (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.755%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.755%E +0.280%K +0.444%G +0.003%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-20 03:29
PlayUp🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-20 01:08
NordicBet🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -6.34%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-20 01:10
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.71%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-19 09:10
GTbets🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -7.08%E -2.84%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV +0.294%E +0.183%K +0.489%G +0.001%	2.7%	2026-05-19 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -7.08%E -2.84%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-20 01:09
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-20 01:09
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-05-20 03:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%	2.0%	2026-05-20 07:49
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%	2.8%	2026-05-20 06:59