L’École des cotes

Anhelina Kalinina v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anhelina Kalinina (Local)

Prévision 79.33%1.26cote équitable
EV +12.65%
Avantage +8.91%
Kelly +30.11%
Croissance +3.81%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.74%76.79%79.27%82.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.251.201.4288.50%79.83%83.33%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV +13.69%
Avantage +2.49%
Kelly +3.04%
Croissance +0.416%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%23.21%20.73%33.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.854.024.305.5035.09%24.90%23.26%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -36.13%E -11.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 15:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:14
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -41.09%E -14.42%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -41.09%E -14.42%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:40
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -40.26%E -13.93%K -21.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:09
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:40
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:39
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -39.02%E -13.23%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:13
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -39.23%E -13.34%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +10.27%E +7.39%K +26.33%G +2.70%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -39.02%E -13.23%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +5.51%E +4.14%K +16.69%G +0.919%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -34.89%E -11.08%K -16.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:20
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -15.25%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%4.7%2026-05-26 15:19
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.29%E +0.262%K +0.330%G +0.004%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.85%E -0.606%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -3.88%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-26 15:20
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -15.25%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.56%E -8.39%K -68.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +13.69%E +2.49%K +3.04%G +0.416%5.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -10.36%E -9.17%K -79.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 80.20%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.80%6.6%2026-05-26 15:20