La escuela de los momios

Anhelina Kalinina v Diane Parry

Inicio: 2026-05-26 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anhelina Kalinina (Local)

Predicción 79.33%1.26momio equitativo
EV +12.65%
Ventaja +8.91%
Kelly +30.11%
Crecimiento +3.81%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.74%76.79%79.27%82.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.251.201.4288.50%79.83%83.33%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV +13.69%
Ventaja +2.49%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.416%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%23.21%20.73%33.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.854.024.305.5035.09%24.90%23.26%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -36.13%E -11.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 15:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:14
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -41.09%E -14.42%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +12.65%E +8.91%K +30.11%G +3.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -41.09%E -14.42%K -22.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:40
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:40
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV +11.85%E +8.41%K +28.91%G +3.43%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -40.26%E -13.93%K -21.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:09
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -37.99%E -12.66%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 14:40
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -38.40%E -12.89%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 14:39
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -39.02%E -13.23%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:13
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -39.23%E -13.34%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +11.06%E +7.90%K +27.65%G +3.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -40.06%E -13.81%K -21.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +10.27%E +7.39%K +26.33%G +2.70%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -39.02%E -13.23%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 14:40
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +5.51%E +4.14%K +16.69%G +0.919%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -34.89%E -11.08%K -16.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:20
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -15.25%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.80%E -4.00%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 15:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.60%E -4.70%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.12%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%4.7%2026-05-26 15:19
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.29%E +0.262%K +0.330%G +0.004%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.05%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.18%E -6.14%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -12.15%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -2.85%E -0.606%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -3.88%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 15:19
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.35%E +0.671%K +0.838%G +0.028%7.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -1.81%E -0.382%K -0.484%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -5.95%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-26 15:20
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.10%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -15.25%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.56%E -8.39%K -68.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +13.69%E +2.49%K +3.04%G +0.416%5.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -10.36%E -9.17%K -79.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 80.20%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.80%6.6%2026-05-26 15:20