Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ana Sofia Sánchez v Leyre Romero Gormaz

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 13:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

12%

88%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ana Sofia Sánchez (Local)

Prediction 11.69%8.55fair odd

EV +5.21%

Edge +0.579%

Kelly +0.652%

Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.71%11.81%11.63%13.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.947.747.759.0014.41%12.92%12.90%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit)

Prediction 88.31%1.13fair odd

EV -1.98%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -17.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.64%88.19%88.37%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.071.071.1198.04%93.33%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ana Sofia Sánchez (Local): 11.69%; Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit): 88.31%. For Ana Sofia Sánchez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BoyleSports🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +5.21%E +0.579%K +0.652%G +0.034%	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-18 13:00
Pinnacle🎯	8.47I 11.81%NM 11.31%EV -0.983%E -0.116%K -0.132%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.69%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-18 12:55
theScore Bet🎯	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -9.40%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-18 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯	7.75I 12.90%NM 11.63%EV -9.40%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 88.37%EV -9.92%E -9.73%K -496.21%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-05-18 12:50
GTbets🎯	7.28I 13.74%NM 13.23%EV -14.89%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.77%EV -1.98%E -1.78%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-18 12:50
Betway🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.17%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-18 13:01
NordicBet🎯	6.94I 14.41%NM 13.36%EV -18.87%E -2.72%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.64%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-18 12:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%	4.3%	2026-05-18 12:35