Language:English
Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Marina Bassols Ribera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local)
assuming max odds 1.36
Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local): 74.37%; Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit): 25.63%. For Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -14.47%E -12.58%K -96.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +15.31%E +3.40%K +4.38%G +0.670% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -10.75%E -8.96%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +8.91%E +2.10%K +2.74%G +0.244% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.26%E -7.59%K -42.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.50%E +0.625%K +0.834%G +0.021% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -10.01%E -8.27%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV +1.48%E +0.373%K +0.499%G +0.007% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -10.75%E -8.96%K -53.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.061%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.06%E -3.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -10.57%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.08%E -0.813%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.87%E -3.79%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV +1.15%E +0.845%K +3.19%G +0.037% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -15.18%E -4.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -2.57%E -1.96%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -15.95%E -4.86%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV +1.15%E +0.845%K +3.19%G +0.037% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -18.00%E -5.62%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -4.80%E -3.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -18.00%E -5.62%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-22 08:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.45% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.50% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 33.50% | 12.2% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |