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Marta Kostyuk v Coco Gauff

2026-11-12 20:00 UTC — WTA Finals

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.60%27.51%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.423.6032.79%29.64%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 72.59%1.38fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -10.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%72.40%72.49%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.311.311.3381.30%76.61%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 27.41%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 72.59%. For Marta Kostyuk (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -1.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.33%E -0.370%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-11 06:28
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -2.43%E -0.682%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-11 06:05
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.70%E -0.761%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-11 05:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-11 05:59
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-11 05:25
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:30
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 06:09
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:40
GTbets🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -4.90%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-11 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 05:30
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 05:19
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 05:30
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 05:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 05:30
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 07:05
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-11 05:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-11 05:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-11 05:24
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-11 05:48
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:25
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-11 05:24
picklebet_au🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-11 05:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.55%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-11 05:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-11 06:49
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-11 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-11 05:20
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 06:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-11 05:23
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-11 05:24
ReBet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 28.83%EV -13.39%E -4.24%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.17%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-11 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.04%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-11 05:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -16.41%E -5.38%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.26%EV -10.71%E -8.71%K -46.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-11 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%8.8%2026-11-11 07:30
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%12.2%2026-11-11 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 31.09%1.20I 83.33%NM 68.91%20.9%2026-11-11 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 31.09%1.20I 83.33%NM 68.91%20.9%2026-11-11 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 31.09%1.20I 83.33%NM 68.91%20.9%2026-11-11 04:10

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