Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 59.88%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 40.12%. For Elina Svitolina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.80%E -1.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-11-14 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.00%E -1.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-11-14 20:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.00%E -1.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.32%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-14 04:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.00%E -1.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.00%E -1.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.73%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.00%E -1.85%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.73%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.70%E -0.695%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-11-14 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.70%E -0.695%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-11-14 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.10%E -0.862%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-14 13:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-14 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-14 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-14 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-14 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-11-14 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.31%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-14 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-14 13:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-14 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.52%E -2.80%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-11-14 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.51%E -1.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 20:04 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.71%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.59%E -4.22%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-11-14 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-11-14 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.26%EV -8.92%E -3.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-11-14 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.99%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.73%E -5.33%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.58%E -6.35%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -8.52%E -3.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-11-14 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.73%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-11-14 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.43%EV -11.38%E -7.69%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.57%EV -9.32%E -4.13%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-11-14 21:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-11-14 21:40 |
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