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Xiyu Wang v Polina Kudermetova

2026-08-13 16:30 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.72%60.91%60.88%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.551.551.6166.23%64.42%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Polina Kudermetova (Visit)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.09%39.12%41.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.402.402.5043.67%41.64%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Xiyu Wang (Local): 60.95%; Polina Kudermetova (Visit): 39.05%. For Xiyu Wang (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.61, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -10.57%E -4.61%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 08:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.71%E -2.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.37%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.71%E -2.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.37%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 11:29
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.37%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 10:20
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 10:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 10:19
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 10:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-13 13:55

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