Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.78
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 56.55%; Bianca Andreescu (Visit): 43.45%. For Bianca Andreescu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.28%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -12.35%E -7.97%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +4.28%E +1.78%K +3.06%G +0.131% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.48%E -8.81%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.41%E +1.43%K +2.47%G +0.084% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -13.48%E -8.81%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +2.98%E +1.26%K +2.17%G +0.065% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.657%E +0.369%K +0.843%G +0.006% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.092%E +0.052%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.092%E +0.052%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.43%E -2.62%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.75%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.69%E -4.06%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -9.62%E -4.63%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.04%E -0.594%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 22:57 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.17%E -1.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.87%E -2.27%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -4.43%E -2.62%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 22:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 22:55 |