Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%34.15%34.10%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.642.752.752.8637.88%36.32%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit)

Prediction 65.89%1.52fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -9.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%65.85%65.90%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.421.4571.43%70.15%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 34.11%; Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit): 65.89%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.44%E -0.854%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.46%E -3.08%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.44%E -0.854%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.46%E -3.08%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.46%E -3.08%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 15:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 15:05
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.53%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 15:05
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 15:05
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.46%E -3.08%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 15:04
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.10%E -5.03%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 15:04
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.81%EV -9.95%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -7.10%E -5.03%K -17.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-08-11 15:50

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