Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 15:06 UTC

Final: Taylor Townsend 2–1 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prediction 60.27%1.66fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.23%60.30%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6365.36%63.04%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)

Prediction 39.73%2.52fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.77%39.70%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.332.5044.44%42.40%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 60.27%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 39.73%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.684%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 14:14
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 14:15
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 06:59
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.88%E -0.759%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 14:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 15:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:05
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.05%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 14:14
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 15:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 14:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.684%E -0.273%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.684%E -0.273%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.684%E -0.273%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-13 14:59