Language:English
Tatjana Maria v Dayana Yastremska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 54.55%1.83fair odd
EV +0.917%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%54.18%54.66%55.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.761.771.8558.14%56.78%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayana Yastremska (Visit)
Prediction 45.45%2.20fair odd
EV +0.446%
Edge +0.202%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%45.82%45.34%48.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.022.2151.81%48.82%49.50%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 54.55%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 45.45%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.917%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +0.917%E +0.495%K +1.08%G +0.010% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -12.28%E -6.36%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.64%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 18:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 18:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.64%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.64%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.92%E -2.86%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV +0.446%E +0.202%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.19%E -4.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -10.46%E -5.31%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.55%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |