Language:English
Sloane Stephens v Anastasia Potapova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Prediction 34.71%2.88fair odd
EV -0.721%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.388%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.76%34.58%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.702.8639.22%37.07%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Potapova (Visit)
Prediction 65.29%1.53fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.24%65.42%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.49%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sloane Stephens (Local): 34.71%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 65.29%. For Sloane Stephens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -0.721%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -0.721%E -0.252%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -0.721%E -0.252%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -7.29%E -5.14%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.07%E -0.375%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.80%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.85%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.68%E -3.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.85%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.68%E -3.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.68%E -3.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.54%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.29%E -5.14%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -5.23%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.60%E -6.14%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -7.32%E -2.74%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.01%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.07%E -1.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.01%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.03%E -2.74%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.01%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.01%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.70%E -3.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.05%E -3.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.05%E -3.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.75%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.75%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.38%E -2.28%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.75%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.68%E -3.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.75%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.75%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.99%E -4.16%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.48%E -4.50%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.33%E -3.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.48%E -4.50%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.29%E -5.14%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 22:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 22:15 |