Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sinja Kraus v Claire Liu

2026-08-12 15:30 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Prediction 40.67%2.46fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -0.827%

Kelly -1.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.24%40.60%40.71%43.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.192.312.342.4145.66%43.20%42.74%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Claire Liu (Visit)

Prediction 59.33%1.69fair odd

EV -0.320%

Edge -0.191%

Kelly -0.471%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.59%59.40%59.29%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.591.581.6864.94%62.79%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sinja Kraus (Local): 40.67%; Claire Liu (Visit): 59.33%. For Claire Liu (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.68, with an expected value of -0.320%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.99%E -0.827%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-12 14:25
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.40%E -1.000%K -1.71%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-12 13:19
Coral🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-12 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-12 13:35
PlayUp🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-12 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-12 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-12 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-12 14:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-12 13:20
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-12 13:35
NordicBet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.31%E -4.18%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-12 13:25
GTbets🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -10.94%E -5.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -0.320%E -0.191%K -0.471%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-12 08:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%	1.1%	2026-08-12 14:30

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