Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang v Ann Li

Início: 2026-08-16 18:35 UTC

Final: Shuai Zhang 0–2 Ann Li

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Previsão 41.64%2.40odd justa
EV -0.901%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.65%41.54%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.262.252.3846.73%44.25%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 58.36%1.71odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%58.35%58.46%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.90%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shuai Zhang (Local): 41.64%; Ann Li (Visitante): 58.36%. Para Shuai Zhang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.38, com valor esperado de -0.901%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.901%E -0.378%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 11:50
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.73%E -0.734%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:04
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.73%E -0.734%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.54%E -1.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:25
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:33
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:33
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:04
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 12:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:29
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:35
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.73%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.54%E -1.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:08
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:30
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.96%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.48%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.48%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 18:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -10.89%E -5.09%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-16 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-16 18:35
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.3%2026-08-16 18:35
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-08-16 18:35