Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shuai Zhang v Ann Li

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 18:35 UTC

Score final : Shuai Zhang 0–2 Ann Li

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 41.64%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.901%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.65%41.54%43.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.262.252.3846.73%44.25%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ann Li (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.36%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%58.35%58.46%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.90%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shuai Zhang (Local) : 41.64% ; Ann Li (Visiteur) : 58.36%. Pour Shuai Zhang (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.40. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.38, pour une espérance de -0.901% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.901%E -0.378%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 11:50
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.73%E -0.734%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:04
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.73%E -0.734%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.15%E -0.915%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.40%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.54%E -1.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:25
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:33
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:33
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:04
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:34
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.23%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 12:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:29
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 18:35
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.73%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.15%E -3.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.54%E -1.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.29%E -2.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.87%E -2.99%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:34
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.45%E -3.37%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:34
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:08
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:30
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.37%E -5.33%K -14.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.40%E -3.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.96%E -5.74%K -15.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 18:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.48%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.70%E -2.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.48%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.62%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 18:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -10.89%E -5.09%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -10.12%E -6.57%K -18.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-16 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-16 18:35
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-08-16 18:30
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.3%2026-08-16 18:35
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-08-16 18:35