StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek v Karolina Pliskova

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Sara Bejlek 2–0 Karolina Pliskova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek (Hemma)

Prognos 52.68%1.90rättvist odds
EV -1.48%
Fördel -0.793%
Kelly -1.70%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.05%52.68%52.63%53.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.70%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Pliskova (Borta)

Prognos 47.32%2.11rättvist odds
EV -1.58%
Fördel -0.760%
Kelly -1.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.11%47.32%47.37%48.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.012.002.0852.63%49.82%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sara Bejlek (Hemma): 52.68%; Karolina Pliskova (Borta): 47.32%. För Sara Bejlek (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.90. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.87, med väntevärdet -1.48%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.48%E -0.793%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -7.26%E -3.70%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.01%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.20%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:55
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.54%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.06%E -1.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.06%E -1.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.59%E -1.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.59%E -1.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.59%E -1.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.58%E -0.760%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 10:54
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 06:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 06:44
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.12%E -2.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:54
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.64%E -2.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.64%E -2.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 10:03
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.64%E -2.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 06:39
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:29
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 06:29
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.17%E -2.87%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.10%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.70%E -3.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.70%E -3.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.84%E -2.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.22%E -3.50%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.58%E -0.760%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.22%E -3.50%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:09
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.22%E -3.50%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:19
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.75%E -3.81%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 14:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 05:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.33%E -4.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 11:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-14 14:55
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-08-14 14:55
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-14 14:55