The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Polina Iatcenko v Claire Liu

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 17:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Iatcenko (Local)

Prediction 36.36%2.75fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.49%36.38%36.57%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.592.7240.00%38.60%38.61%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Claire Liu (Visit)

Prediction 63.64%1.57fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -6.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%63.62%63.43%64.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5269.93%67.53%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Iatcenko (Local): 36.36%; Claire Liu (Visit): 63.64%. For Polina Iatcenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.09%E -0.400%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.91%E -2.59%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.09%E -0.400%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.91%E -2.59%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 14:34
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -2.18%E -0.810%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.36%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.27%E -2.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 15:45
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.45%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 14:34
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.45%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%EV -6.18%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%EV -9.00%E -6.29%K -20.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.27%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.09%E -4.86%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.09%E -3.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 14:34
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.09%E -3.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 14:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.09%E -3.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.93%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.09%E -3.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.36%E -5.81%K -19.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 14:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-08-11 17:10

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