Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns v Clara Tauson

Início: 2026-08-15 23:00 UTC

Final: Peyton Stearns 1–2 Clara Tauson

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Previsão 48.58%2.06odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%48.56%48.68%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.951.952.0153.19%51.29%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Previsão 51.42%1.94odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.938%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.44%51.32%52.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.851.9157.14%54.10%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peyton Stearns (Local): 48.58%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 51.42%. Para Clara Tauson (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -1.79%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.35%E -1.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 11:15
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 17:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 14:49
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:50
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:14
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:13
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:12
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.32%E -1.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.82%E -1.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.29%E -2.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.36%E -2.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 20:29
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.36%E -2.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.36%E -2.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:54
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:44
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 22:54
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 22:34
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.938%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:17
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.36%E -2.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-15 22:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-15 22:50
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-15 22:35
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-15 21:00
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-08-15 22:35