Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns v Clara Tauson

2026-08-15 23:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Predicción 46.67%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.952%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.94%46.73%46.75%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.002.1252.63%49.56%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Predicción 53.33%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%53.27%53.25%55.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.791.8458.82%56.15%55.87%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Peyton Stearns (Local): 46.67%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 53.33%. Para Peyton Stearns (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.12, con un valor esperado de -1.07%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.07%E -0.503%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 04:00
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -1.53%E -0.727%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 08:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 08:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:09
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.00%E -0.952%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:05
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 08:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 08:14
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 03:59
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 03:58
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 08:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:14
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 08:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 08:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 08:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.80%E -2.35%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 08:10
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.27%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 03:59
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.27%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 03:59
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.27%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 03:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 08:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.20%E -3.08%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 05:04
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 06:53
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 06:53
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 06:54
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:00
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 03:59
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 03:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 03:59
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 08:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:29
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 08:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 03:59
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 06:49
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.60%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 03:59
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 03:58
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 03:59
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 03:59
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -11.33%E -5.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 04:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-08-15 08:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-08-15 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-08-15 08:24
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%1.7%2026-08-15 08:25
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%3.0%2026-08-15 08:25
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-08-15 07:00

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