Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Mary Stoiana

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd

EV +0.983%

Edge +0.395%

Kelly +0.660%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.12%40.54%40.61%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.322.312.4945.45%43.02%43.29%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mary Stoiana (Visit)

Prediction 59.44%1.68fair odd

EV -1.92%

Edge -1.16%

Kelly -2.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%59.46%59.39%60.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.591.601.6565.36%62.71%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local): 40.56%; Mary Stoiana (Visit): 59.44%. For Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.983%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV +0.983%E +0.395%K +0.660%G +0.006%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-12 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.26%E -0.938%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-12 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.26%E -0.938%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-12 13:10
BetUS🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-12 13:57
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-12 09:19
Pinnacle🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.51%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-12 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.07%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-12 13:55
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 09:19
NordicBet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-12 13:10
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-12 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-12 13:54
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-12 13:14
PlayUp🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 13:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%	2.0%	2026-08-12 13:55