Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Elizabeth Mandlik

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.53%56.42%57.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7261.73%60.03%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit)

Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.52%43.47%43.58%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2647.62%46.31%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local): 56.53%; Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit): 43.47%. For Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 14:34
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 17:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.85%E -4.82%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 17:25
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -4.81%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-11 16:25

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