Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linda Noskova v Katie Boulter

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 18:57 UTC

Final: Linda Noskova 2–0 Katie Boulter

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prediction 75.43%1.33fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -6.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.39%75.44%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.15%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Boulter (Visit)

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV +0.754%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.243%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.61%24.56%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.803.754.1030.30%26.35%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 75.43%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 24.57%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.754%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.754%E +0.184%K +0.243%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-15 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -3.45%E -2.70%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV -0.720%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 18:29
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.70%E -2.09%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -0.966%E -0.240%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-15 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.45%E -2.70%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 07:05
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 12:29
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:13
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.70%E -0.426%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:29
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -2.44%E -0.615%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.93%E -0.742%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.93%E -0.742%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.93%E -0.742%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 07:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 18:14
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 19:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.16%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:54
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.39%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.64%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 18:44
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.94%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.62%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:15
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.70%E -2.09%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:34
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:19
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.21%E -3.31%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.08%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:34
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.70%E -2.09%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -1.95%E -1.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -15.22%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.45%E -2.70%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.22%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 13:20
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.45%E -2.70%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.22%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 13:20
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.95%E -1.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.91%E -5.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-15 18:55
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-15 18:55
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-15 18:45
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-08-15 18:50