Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee v Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prediction 59.88%1.67fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%59.90%59.95%60.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.581.6366.23%63.16%63.09%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit)

Prediction 40.12%2.49fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.12%40.10%40.05%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.352.332.4343.48%42.60%43.01%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanlana Tararudee (Local): 59.88%; Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit): 40.12%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.63, with an expected value of -2.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.52%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.99%E -1.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.99%E -1.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.92%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 23:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 23:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 22:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 22:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -9.58%E -6.34%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-12 23:20