Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Início: 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC

Final: Katerina Siniakova 2–1 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Previsão 49.13%2.04odd justa
EV -0.763%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.748%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%49.19%49.08%52.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.912.0255.56%52.14%52.36%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Previsão 50.87%1.97odd justa
EV -0.798%
Vantagem -0.409%
Kelly -0.840%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.00%50.81%50.92%52.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.881.871.9557.14%53.30%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 49.13%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante): 50.87%. Para Katerina Siniakova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.763%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.763%E -0.378%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:33
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 07:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:04
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.941%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:24
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.96%E -5.62%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 08:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 10:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:19
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:19
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 10:24
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 09:14
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:39
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 04:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 08:19
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:08
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:09
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:14
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 11:09
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.10%E -5.52%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 09:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.798%E -0.409%K -0.840%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:26
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-08-16 11:55