Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katerina Siniakova v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC

Score final : Katerina Siniakova 2–1 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Prévision 49.13%2.04cote équitable
EV -0.763%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.748%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%49.19%49.08%52.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.912.0255.56%52.14%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.87%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.798%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%50.81%50.92%52.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.881.871.9557.14%53.30%53.48%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Katerina Siniakova (Local) : 49.13% ; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur) : 50.87%. Pour Katerina Siniakova (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.02, pour une espérance de -0.763% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.763%E -0.378%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:29
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.873%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:33
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 07:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.71%E -1.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:04
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.941%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:24
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 08:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.96%E -5.62%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 08:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 10:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:19
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:19
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.38%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 10:24
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 09:14
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 07:59
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 15:39
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 04:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 08:19
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.66%E -3.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:08
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:09
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -3.85%E -2.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:14
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 11:09
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.10%E -5.52%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 09:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.798%E -0.409%K -0.840%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:26
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-08-16 11:55