Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys v Katarzyna Kawa

2026-08-11 20:45 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys (Local)

Prediction 68.34%1.46fair odd

EV -0.903%

Edge -0.623%

Kelly -2.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.06%68.29%68.49%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.381.4573.53%72.00%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katarzyna Kawa (Visit)

Prediction 31.66%3.16fair odd

EV -2.81%

Edge -0.916%

Kelly -1.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.19%31.71%31.51%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.953.003.0737.04%33.94%33.33%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eva Lys (Local): 68.34%; Katarzyna Kawa (Visit): 31.66%. For Eva Lys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.45, with an expected value of -0.903%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
PlayUp🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.903%E -0.623%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.52%E -5.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-11 19:04
Pinnacle🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.32%E -3.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.81%E -0.916%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.32%E -3.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-11 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.32%E -3.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-11 18:45
Betway🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.97%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.03%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 14:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.19%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-11 14:34
NordicBet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.37%E -4.65%K -17.22%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.78%E -3.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-11 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.03%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-11 14:34
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.83%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-11 14:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%	1.2%	2026-08-11 18:30

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