Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro v Jessica Pegula

2026-08-17 12:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.793%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.32%26.04%25.94%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.643.703.9231.25%27.49%27.03%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Visit)

Prediction 73.90%1.35fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%73.96%74.06%75.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3380.65%78.24%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Emma Navarro (Local): 26.10%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 73.90%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.92, producing a positive expected value of +2.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV +2.32%E +0.591%K +0.793%G +0.018%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 03:35
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +1.79%E +0.460%K +0.618%G +0.011%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 03:39
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.488%E +0.127%K +0.171%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 03:35
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV -0.034%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.19%E -2.44%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 06:54
GTbets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.69%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.31%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 03:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 05:39
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 05:42
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 03:33
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 03:39
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.12%E -0.566%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 03:40
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:49
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.41%E -4.23%K -19.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.15%E -4.84%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 03:35
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 03:40
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 03:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 04:49
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:34
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.93%E -3.02%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:45
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.89%E -5.47%K -26.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 03:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:33
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -7.63%E -6.10%K -30.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:34
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -15.17%E -4.67%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.71%E -1.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 04:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -15.17%E -4.67%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 03:34
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -16.48%E -5.15%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -2.45%E -1.86%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 06:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%12.1%2026-08-16 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.22%1.13I 88.50%NM 74.78%18.3%2026-08-16 07:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.22%1.13I 88.50%NM 74.78%18.3%2026-08-16 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.22%1.13I 88.50%NM 74.78%18.3%2026-08-16 07:19
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 21.28%1.00I 100.00%NM 78.72%27.0%2026-08-16 04:00

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.