Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 61.80%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 38.20%. For Anhelina Kalinina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.684%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.35%E -1.49%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.35%E -1.49%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.80%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -11.00%E -4.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.45%E -0.561%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.68%E -4.42%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.684%E -0.263%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 06:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.53%E -5.77%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.15%E -6.23%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |