Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emiliana Arango v Nadia Podoroska

2026-08-13 16:30 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Prediction 59.18%1.69fair odd

EV -3.54%

Edge -2.17%

Kelly -5.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.99%59.18%59.16%60.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.601.601.6364.10%62.65%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nadia Podoroska (Visit)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd

EV -1.61%

Edge -0.670%

Kelly -1.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.45%40.82%40.84%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.302.302.4144.64%43.45%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Emiliana Arango (Local): 59.18%; Nadia Podoroska (Visit): 40.82%. For Nadia Podoroska (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.41, with an expected value of -1.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-13 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-13 11:29
PlayUp🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-13 10:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.73%E -2.94%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.66%E -1.55%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-13 13:20
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.73%E -2.94%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.11%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-13 13:10
Betway🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-13 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-13 07:55
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-13 07:55
GTbets🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-13 07:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.11%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-13 07:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-13 07:54
NordicBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-13 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.69%E -4.93%K -13.72%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.55%E -3.82%K -6.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-13 09:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%	0.5%	2026-08-13 11:40

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