Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emiliana Arango v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

2026-08-11 22:15 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd

EV -2.31%

Edge -0.889%

Kelly -1.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.59%37.59%37.47%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.512.502.6042.02%39.89%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)

Prediction 62.43%1.60fair odd

EV -2.61%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -4.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.34%62.41%62.53%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.521.501.5668.03%65.97%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Emiliana Arango (Local): 37.57%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 62.43%. For Emiliana Arango (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -2.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.31%E -0.889%K -1.45%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.24%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-11 16:45
Pinnacle🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.15%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-11 18:50
GTbets🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-11 16:45
PlayUp🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-11 14:34
Coral🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-11 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%EV -7.57%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%EV -8.23%E -5.60%K -17.51%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-11 16:44
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-11 16:45
NordicBet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.70%E -3.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-11 16:44
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.58%E -4.44%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-11 14:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%	1.0%	2026-08-11 17:50

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