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Emiliana Arango v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emiliana Arango (Local)
assuming max odds 2.75
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emiliana Arango (Local): 36.67%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 63.33%. For Emiliana Arango (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.855%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.855%E +0.311%K +0.489%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.38%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -5.38%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -6.85%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.58%E -3.01%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.21%E -0.777%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.31%E -3.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.15%E -4.14%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.98%E -4.99%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.98%E -4.99%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.71%E -5.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 22:47 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -17.48%E -7.77%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -0.579%E -0.369%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 23:10 |