Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova v Anhelina Kalinina

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC

Final: Darja Vidmanova 1–2 Anhelina Kalinina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.04%48.29%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.1252.36%49.88%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anhelina Kalinina (Visit)

Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.96%51.71%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.9058.14%55.67%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 48.25%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 51.75%. For Darja Vidmanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +2.28%E +1.08%K +2.04%G +0.047%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -9.95%E -5.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 14:54
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -0.128%E -0.062%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:19
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -2.54%E -1.26%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 10:19
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.02%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:59
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 12:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 14:44
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -1.67%E -0.879%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-13 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.81%E -3.19%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 14:34
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.44%E -2.77%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.74%E -2.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 14:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 10:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 14:54
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.88%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 20:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-08-13 14:55