Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina v Zeynep Sonmez

2026-08-13 14:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prediction 56.74%1.76fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%56.74%56.70%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.651.7461.73%60.03%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)

Prediction 43.26%2.31fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.26%43.30%45.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.212.2747.62%45.47%45.15%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 56.74%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 43.26%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -1.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.27%E -0.727%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.73%E -4.14%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:44
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.83%E -1.06%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.97%E -1.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.97%E -1.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.81%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 15:14
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.81%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.70%E -2.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.16%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 15:05
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.16%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.24%E -3.14%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.24%E -3.14%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.14%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.16%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.80%E -3.50%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.67%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:54
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:55
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 18:29
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 15:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 15:14
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.70%E -2.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-08-12 18:20

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