Language:English
Daria Kasatkina v Zeynep Sonmez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Prediction 56.65%1.77fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.92%56.65%56.57%57.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.671.7462.11%60.06%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)
Prediction 43.35%2.31fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.16%43.35%43.43%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.212.2547.62%45.55%45.15%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 56.65%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 43.35%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.42%E -0.818%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.42%E -0.818%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.11%E -3.82%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.56%E -1.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -2.90%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.56%E -1.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.90%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.90%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 14:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.34%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 06:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.39%E -3.23%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.81%E -3.17%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.09%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.47%E -1.10%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.79%E -5.46%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.64%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 10:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 14:59 |