Language:English
Cristina Bucsa v Maja Chwalinska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV +0.359%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%51.41%51.55%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.851.9557.14%53.76%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maja Chwalinska (Visit)
Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.59%48.45%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.931.942.0254.95%51.92%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 51.47%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 48.53%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.359%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.359%E +0.184%K +0.378%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.24%E -4.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -0.156%E -0.080%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -9.73%E -5.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -0.156%E -0.080%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -9.73%E -5.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.671%E -0.347%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.21%E -5.52%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.73%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.42%E -1.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.33%E -3.28%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -11.67%E -6.41%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 01:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.24%E -4.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.90%E -1.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.90%E -1.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.90%E -1.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.90%E -1.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.33%E -3.28%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 06:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 06:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 05:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 06:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.39%E -2.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 05:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.87%E -2.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.87%E -2.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.84%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 06:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.24%E -4.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.96%E -0.971%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.93%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 05:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |