Language:English
Coco Gauff v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 56.32%1.78fair odd
EV -0.319%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.414%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%56.38%56.27%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.671.7762.11%59.51%59.70%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 43.68%2.29fair odd
EV -0.840%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.62%43.73%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.202.2748.78%46.02%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 56.32%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 43.68%. For Coco Gauff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.319%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.319%E -0.180%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.58%E -4.63%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.52%E -3.05%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.840%E -0.370%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.71%E -0.762%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.21%E -2.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.49%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 11:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.71%E -0.762%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 01:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 01:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 01:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.46%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.46%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.71%E -0.762%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 01:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 01:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.95%E -3.56%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 01:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.45%E -5.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.77%E -5.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.71%E -0.762%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.33%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 01:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.33%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 01:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.33%E -5.79%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 01:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 01:45 |