Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Blinkova (Local): 27.48%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 72.52%. For Anna Blinkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.05%E +0.813%K +1.11%G +0.034% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.07%E -0.298%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.07%E -0.298%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.35%E -7.48%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -2.17%E -0.610%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -2.82%E -2.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.45%E -0.689%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.45%E -0.689%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.17%E -5.60%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.90%E -6.22%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 20:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.17%E -5.60%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -2.82%E -2.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -2.82%E -2.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -6.84%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.27%E -3.24%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 20:32 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.72%E -4.40%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -7.90%E -6.22%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -41.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |