Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva v Varvara Lepchenko

2026-08-11 19:30 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

85%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Prediction 85.04%1.18fair odd

EV -2.20%

Edge -1.91%

Kelly -14.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.85%84.74%85.27%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.121.121.1590.91%89.29%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varvara Lepchenko (Visit)

Prediction 14.96%6.69fair odd

EV +4.70%

Edge +0.671%

Kelly +0.783%

Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.58%15.26%14.73%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.056.136.417.0019.80%16.31%15.60%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alina Korneeva (Local): 85.04%; Varvara Lepchenko (Visit): 14.96%. For Varvara Lepchenko (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.45%E -5.87%K -64.53%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.70%E +0.671%K +0.783%G +0.037%	5.2%	2026-08-11 18:49
Pinnacle🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.93%G +0.000%	6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV +2.45%E +0.358%K +0.420%G +0.010%	4.7%	2026-08-11 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.78%E -0.428%K -0.506%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-11 18:55
Coral🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.93%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.78%E -0.428%K -0.506%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-11 18:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.45%E -5.87%K -64.53%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.78%E -0.428%K -0.506%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-11 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 85.01%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.01%G +0.000%	6.41I 15.60%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.644%K -0.763%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-11 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 85.01%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.01%G +0.000%	6.41I 15.60%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.644%K -0.763%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-11 18:50
GTbets🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -2.20%E -1.91%K -14.67%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -13.25%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 18:54
PlayUp🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.01%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.00%E -2.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-11 19:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.60%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -14.75%E -2.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-11 18:39
BetUS🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -3.05%E -2.68%K -21.79%G +0.000%	5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -15.64%E -2.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-11 19:19
NordicBet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.93%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -16.24%E -2.90%K -3.53%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-11 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.85%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.60%G +0.000%	5.05I 19.80%NM 18.15%EV -24.47%E -4.85%K -6.04%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-11 19:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%	6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%	2.2%	2026-08-11 19:05

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