Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva v Alina Charaeva

2026-08-12 17:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Prediction 75.38%1.33fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -12.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.53%75.21%75.38%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.89%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Charaeva (Visit)

Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.79%24.62%26.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.40%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alina Korneeva (Local): 75.38%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 24.62%. For Alina Charaeva (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.51%E -2.74%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.24%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.51%E -2.74%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.24%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 12:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.26%E -3.36%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -3.50%E -0.892%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.02%E -3.98%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.84%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 09:24
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.77%E -4.62%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.53%E -0.382%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 09:24
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.77%E -4.62%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.22%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.77%E -4.62%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 08:45
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.77%E -4.62%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 08:44
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -5.77%E -4.62%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -9.41%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 09:39
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.53%E -5.26%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.03%E -6.59%K -36.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.30%EV -8.03%E -6.59%K -36.52%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.70%EV -8.42%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%2.2%2026-08-12 14:25

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