Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:07 UTC

Final: Alexandra Eala 1–0 Elena Gabriela Ruse

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 67.53%1.48fair odd
EV -0.050%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%67.55%67.66%70.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.401.4874.63%71.13%71.17%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit)

Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV +4.22%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%32.45%32.34%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.903.2138.46%34.69%34.54%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 67.53%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit): 32.47%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.55%EV -9.50%E -7.09%K -27.95%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.45%EV +4.22%E +1.31%K +1.91%G +0.080%5.8%2026-08-15 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.644%E +0.208%K +0.307%G +0.002%5.8%2026-08-15 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.979%E -0.321%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.78%E -3.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.30%E -0.429%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -2.28%E -0.757%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:39
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:59
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:55
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:54
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.60%E -0.867%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.93%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.93%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 14:39
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.78%E -3.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.78%E -3.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:39
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.48%E -5.46%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:04
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.48%E -5.46%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.83%E -6.54%K -25.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:39
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 14:49
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.78%E -3.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:59
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 06:39
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.43%E -2.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:04
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.15%E -6.00%K -22.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:04
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.08%E -1.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:05
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.10%E -2.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.78%E -3.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:04
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:58
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.050%E -0.034%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 14:05
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.40%E -0.959%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 15:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-15 15:05
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.5%2026-08-15 15:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-08-15 15:05