Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhuoxuan Bai v Linda Fruhvirtova

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 07:23 UTC

Final: Zhuoxuan Bai 0–2 Linda Fruhvirtova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhuoxuan Bai (Local)

Prediction 58.90%1.70fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.83%58.82%61.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.59%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.81%41.17%41.18%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.282.4647.62%44.04%43.86%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhuoxuan Bai (Local): 58.90%; Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit): 41.10%. For Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV +1.10%E +0.445%K +0.750%G +0.008%4.8%2026-09-30 06:50
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.99%E -2.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -0.959%E -0.398%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-30 05:15
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.37%E -0.571%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 06:54
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.37%E -0.571%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 06:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.37%E -0.571%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 07:00
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.19%E -0.921%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.01%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 03:04
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 07:00
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.75%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 07:05
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 07:00
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.99%E -2.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 06:00
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.99%E -2.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 05:59
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 05:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 05:30
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 05:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 07:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 05:30
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 07:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 07:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 19:34
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 05:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-30 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.99%E -2.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.89%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.63%E -0.976%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.63%E -0.976%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 05:45
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.99%E -2.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 07:02
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 05:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 05:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 05:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 05:30
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.36%E -3.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 06:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.976%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:09
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:09
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 16:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.63%E -0.976%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.63%E -0.976%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 17:17
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -5.75%E -3.60%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-09-30 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-09-30 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-30 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-30 07:10
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-09-30 07:00