Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 11.40
assuming max odds 1.07
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yue Yuan (Local): 9.93%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 90.07%. For Yue Yuan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.07. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +13.19%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.167% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.33%E -6.08%K -158.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +9.22%E +0.838%K +0.922%G +0.085% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +9.22%E +0.838%K +0.922%G +0.085% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.22%E +0.838%K +0.922%G +0.085% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +7.23%E +0.669%K +0.738%G +0.053% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV +7.13%E +0.661%K +0.728%G +0.052% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV +7.13%E +0.661%K +0.728%G +0.052% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.95%EV +7.03%E +0.652%K +0.719%G +0.051% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +4.25%E +0.405%K +0.447%G +0.019% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +4.25%E +0.405%K +0.447%G +0.019% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.714%E -0.071%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 20:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.714%E -0.071%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.714%E -0.071%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.13%E -7.97%K -406.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -2.70%E -0.275%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -2.70%E -0.275%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.69I 10.32%NM 9.86%EV -3.79%E -0.391%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.14%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -4.68%E -0.488%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -4.68%E -0.488%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.68%E -0.598%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.68%E -0.598%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.68%E -0.598%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.68%E -0.598%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.68%E -0.598%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -6.17%E -0.653%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -6.67%E -0.710%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.96%EV -6.67%E -0.710%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -6.33%E -6.08%K -158.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -7.66%E -0.824%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -7.66%E -0.824%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -8.16%E -0.882%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.43%E -5.17%K -108.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.64%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.23%E -7.02%K -240.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.61%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.57%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.57%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.57%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 02:52 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.57%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.52%E -4.27%K -75.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -20.57%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.23%E -7.02%K -240.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-30 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -29.51%E -4.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -7.23%E -7.02%K -240.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 01:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -30.50%E -4.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 03:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -30.50%E -4.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.62%E -3.39%K -51.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 03:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 02:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 1.5% | 2026-10-02 02:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 1.5% | 2026-10-02 02:40 |