Language:English
Xinyu Gao v Panna Udvardy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Gao (Local)
Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.94%39.27%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5843.48%41.51%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panna Udvardy (Visit)
Prediction 60.83%1.64fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.28%61.06%60.73%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.39%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Gao (Local): 39.17%; Panna Udvardy (Visit): 60.83%. For Xinyu Gao (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV +1.05%E +0.406%K +0.663%G +0.007% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV +0.264%E +0.103%K +0.169%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -8.14%E -5.39%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.128%E -0.050%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.79%E -8.13%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.911%E -0.360%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.911%E -0.360%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.69%E -0.675%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.69%E -0.675%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.83%E -1.99%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.61%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.79%E -8.13%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 05:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 10:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 02:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 11:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 11:57 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 12:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-10-01 11:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-10-01 12:00 |