Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Xinyu Gao v Iga Swiatek

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Xinyu Gao (Casa)

Previsione 6.22%16.08quota equa
EV +43.03%
Vantaggio +1.87%
Kelly +1.96%
Crescita +0.842%

ipotizzando la quota massima 23.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.21%6.80%6.21%10.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5015.0115.0023.0011.76%6.66%6.67%4.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 93.78%1.07quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -3.31%
Kelly -113.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.47%93.20%93.79%95.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.021.011.03100.00%98.52%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Xinyu Gao (Casa): 6.22%; Iga Swiatek (Trasferta): 93.78%. Per Xinyu Gao (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 16.08. 7 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 23.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +43.03%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +43.03%E +1.87%K +1.96%G +0.842%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 20:25
Sky Bet🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +30.60%E +1.46%K +1.53%G +0.468%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -3.41%E -3.31%K -113.51%G +0.000%1.8%2026-10-01 16:29
Paddy Power🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +24.38%E +1.22%K +1.28%G +0.313%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-01 16:00
SportsBet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +18.16%E +0.956%K +1.01%G +0.183%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 16:00
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +5.72%E +0.337%K +0.358%G +0.020%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +5.72%E +0.337%K +0.358%G +0.020%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 16:25
Coolbet🎯16.70I 5.99%NM 5.70%EV +3.86%E +0.231%K +0.246%G +0.009%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.30%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 15:40
Bet Right🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -0.498%E -0.031%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -2.05%E -0.130%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.97%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -3.61%E -0.233%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 15:40
1xBet🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -3.61%E -0.233%K -0.249%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:25
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 17:51
theScore Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -6.72%E -0.448%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:51
GTbets🎯14.92I 6.70%NM 6.40%EV -7.21%E -0.484%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.60%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:51
Betr (AU)🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -11.38%E -0.799%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 15:40
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -12.94%E -0.924%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.34%E -4.26%K -217.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 16:25
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -28.48%E -2.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-01 15:45
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -31.59%E -2.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.41%E -3.31%K -113.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 14:40
Caesars🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -31.59%E -2.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.41%E -3.31%K -113.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 9.70%EV -41.54%E -4.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.30%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 16:29
ReBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 9.80%EV -42.16%E -4.53%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.20%EV -5.28%E -5.23%K -528.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-01 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -47.14%E -5.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 89.47%EV -6.22%E -6.22%K +0.000%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 16:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.56%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%2.8%2026-10-01 20:10
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 11.36%1.00I 100.00%NM 88.64%12.8%2026-10-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%1.03I 97.09%NM 82.92%17.1%2026-10-01 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%1.02I 98.04%NM 83.06%18.0%2026-10-01 20:35