Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Peyton Stearns

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 03:02 UTC

Final: Viktorija Golubic 2–1 Peyton Stearns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 40.81%2.45fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.65%40.81%40.87%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.322.4245.45%43.09%43.10%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Visit)

Prediction 59.19%1.69fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%59.19%59.13%60.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.601.6566.23%62.81%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 40.81%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 59.19%. For Viktorija Golubic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.24%E -0.514%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-02 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.06%E -0.859%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 02:45
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 08:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 20:25
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.69%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-01 20:24
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 01:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 02:45
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 02:45
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 02:45
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 02:45
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.92%E -2.11%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 00:01
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 02:05
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 20:25
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.33%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.73%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 20:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 11:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 02:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 22:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 02:50
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 02:52
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 02:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 03:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 03:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -6.96%E -3.05%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 10:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.33%E -1.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.52%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 22:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.18%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 20:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 20:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 20:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.22%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-02 00:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-10-02 02:46
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-10-02 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-10-02 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-10-02 02:45
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-10-02 02:40
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-10-02 02:40