Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Elvina Kalieva

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 04:54 UTC

Final: Viktorija Golubic 2–0 Elvina Kalieva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 63.06%1.59fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.05%62.98%65.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.511.5570.42%66.33%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elvina Kalieva (Visit)

Prediction 36.94%2.71fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%36.95%37.02%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6841.67%39.31%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 63.06%; Elvina Kalieva (Visit): 36.94%. For Elvina Kalieva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.35%E -4.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 04:45
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.22%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-30 04:31
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -2.88%E -1.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.92%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -7.29%E -2.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 01:55
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 02:00
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 02:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 21:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.52%E -2.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 04:10
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 04:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 04:25
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.50%E -3.88%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.15%E -2.73%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.50%E -3.88%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.11%E -0.798%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 00:20
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 00:19
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.70%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.78%E -3.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.18%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 01:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.01%E -0.375%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 04:50
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 03:14
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 21:19
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.70%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 04:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.18%E -2.43%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 21:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.41%E -3.60%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 21:23
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.67%E -4.51%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.67%E -4.51%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.81%E -2.28%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 21:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.67%E -4.51%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.67%E -4.51%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.65%E -3.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.56%E -5.90%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -10.24%E -4.21%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.19%E -6.38%K -20.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.96%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-30 04:37
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.19%E -6.38%K -20.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.35%E -4.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-29 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.45%E -7.36%K -24.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.11%E -0.798%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-30 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-29 21:05
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-30 04:31
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-09-30 02:05
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-09-30 04:50