Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Alina Korneeva

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 39.94%2.50fair odd
EV +5.44%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +3.32%
Growth +0.180%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.17%39.53%40.15%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.382.6445.45%41.64%42.02%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Korneeva (Visit)

Prediction 60.06%1.66fair odd
EV -0.299%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%60.47%59.85%63.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.571.6667.57%64.06%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 39.94%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 60.06%. For Viktorija Golubic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV +5.44%E +2.06%K +3.32%G +0.180%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 06:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +5.04%E +1.92%K +3.09%G +0.156%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 07:55
SportsBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +5.04%E +1.92%K +3.09%G +0.156%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -10.51%E -7.05%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 05:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +3.84%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.092%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 05:39
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.84%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.092%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.11%E -7.51%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 03:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.84%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.092%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.11%E -7.51%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 03:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.84%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.092%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.11%E -7.51%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 03:15
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.84%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.092%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.11%E -7.51%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.152%E -0.061%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 09:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.152%E -0.061%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.152%E -0.061%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 05:25
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -1.75%E -0.711%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -6.30%E -4.04%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 10:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.15%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:05
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:24
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:04
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:07
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:04
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:05
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 10:06
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 09:59
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 10:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 10:26
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 10:15
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 10:14
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.50%E -2.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.54%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 10:14
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.54%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.90%E -2.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.54%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.10%E -3.23%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 10:15
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -0.299%E -0.180%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-29 10:25
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.70%E -1.67%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 10:24
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.899%E -0.545%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-29 10:29
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 10:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.91%E -4.46%K -12.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 10:15
ReBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.30%E -4.04%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.31%E -6.16%K -18.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 10:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.14%E -4.51%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.899%E -0.545%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 10:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.14%E -4.51%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.10%E -1.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.13%E -5.52%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.71%E -5.73%K -16.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-29 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-09-29 10:31
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%3.0%2026-09-29 10:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%6.8%2026-09-29 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 43.77%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.23%17.8%2026-09-29 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 43.77%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.23%17.8%2026-09-29 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 43.60%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.40%18.2%2026-09-29 09:25