Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylah Preston v Diane Parry

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 05:33 UTC

Final: Taylah Preston 2–0 Diane Parry

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylah Preston (Local)

Prediction 43.25%2.31fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.68%43.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.162.172.2853.48%46.35%46.19%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diane Parry (Visit)

Prediction 56.75%1.76fair odd
EV +6.11%
Edge +3.27%
Kelly +7.03%
Growth +0.430%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%56.32%56.85%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.691.681.8763.29%59.10%59.52%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylah Preston (Local): 43.25%; Diane Parry (Visit): 56.75%. For Diane Parry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -19.11%E -10.22%K -21.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +6.11%E +3.27%K +7.03%G +0.430%7.0%2026-10-02 05:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.26%E -0.725%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 09:46
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.30%E -3.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.40%E -1.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 05:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.96%E -1.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 09:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.53%E -2.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-01 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.44%E -3.47%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.53%E -2.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 05:10
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.38%E -0.605%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-02 05:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 23:50
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.11%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 23:49
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 04:05
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.10%E -2.43%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 23:50
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 03:15
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 21:15
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 21:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 05:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 08:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 23:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 23:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 05:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 09:45
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -13.49%E -6.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.25%E -0.994%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.80%E -3.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.54%E -1.59%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.80%E -3.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.80%E -3.50%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 23:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 05:05
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.41%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 09:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 21:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 21:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 23:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.00%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -5.27%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -8.64%E -5.37%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 05:16
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.17%E -4.36%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.34%E -6.55%K -17.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-02 00:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-10-02 05:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-10-02 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-10-02 04:40
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-10-02 04:36
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-10-02 05:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-10-02 05:25