Language:English
Sun Xinran v Cristina Bucsa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sun Xinran (Local)
Prediction 32.04%3.12fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.21%32.15%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.903.1137.74%34.56%34.48%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cristina Bucsa (Visit)
Prediction 67.96%1.47fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -6.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.76%67.79%67.85%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4375.19%71.27%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sun Xinran (Local): 32.04%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 67.96%. For Sun Xinran (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.11, with an expected value of -0.341%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -0.341%E -0.110%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -4.18%E -2.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 09:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.742%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.91%E -0.959%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 05:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.91%E -0.959%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 10:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 10:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.87%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.57%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 06:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.51%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.18%E -2.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -5.15%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 11:51 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -5.15%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.79%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 07:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 05:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.18%E -2.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 09:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 05:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.47%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 21:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.88%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -9.62%E -7.23%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 10:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |