Language:English
Sonay Kartal v Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Head to Head
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Prediction 75.32%1.33fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.32%75.40%78.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2982.64%80.56%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit)
Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV +6.86%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.141%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%24.68%24.60%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.833.804.3328.99%26.12%26.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sonay Kartal (Local): 75.32%; Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit): 24.68%. For Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.33, producing a positive expected value of +6.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +6.86%E +1.58%K +2.06%G +0.141% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +2.41%E +0.582%K +0.766%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -7.35%E -5.98%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV +2.41%E +0.582%K +0.766%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.29%E -0.322%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.29%E -0.322%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%EV -2.03%E -0.511%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -4.34%E -3.42%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.83%E -2.20%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 13:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.86%E -7.32%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-29 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09% | 12.7% | 2026-09-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 30.46% | 19.8% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 30.46% | 19.8% | 2026-09-29 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 30.46% | 19.8% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |