Language:English
Sofia Kenin v Ashlyn Krueger
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sofia Kenin (Local)
Prediction 39.25%2.55fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.47%39.25%39.24%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5243.48%41.65%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ashlyn Krueger (Visit)
Prediction 60.75%1.65fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.75%60.76%62.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6367.57%64.20%64.31%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sofia Kenin (Local): 39.25%; Ashlyn Krueger (Visit): 60.75%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.63, with an expected value of -0.981%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -1.08%E -0.430%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.48%E -0.588%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.02%E -2.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.87%E -0.748%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.05%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.41%E -2.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.05%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.41%E -2.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.05%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:47 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.62%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -5.01%E -2.07%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -0.981%E -0.602%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.01%E -2.07%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.02%E -2.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.02%E -2.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 22:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 21:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 23:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 23:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 02:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 07:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.76%E -3.30%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -8.54%E -3.67%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -9.49%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.72%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.59%E -0.981%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.20%E -1.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.20%E -1.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.20%E -1.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.72%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -10.09%E -6.82%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |